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中文摘要: 计算发现赤道东太平洋和北太平洋流区海温与山东夏季降水相关性好，在此基础上，讨论了山东夏季旱涝年同期、前期SST异常的特征及其与大气环流的相互关系，发现同期SST异常显著，前期赤道东太平洋SST负异常与500hPa大气环流负WP遥相关型关系密切，北太平洋流区海温异常很可能受环流异常的调制。利用2—4月高相关区SSTA做当年夏季降水趋势预测的试验和利用赤道东太平洋区3月、北太平洋流区7月海温做长期夏季降水预测的试验表明，SST可以对山东夏季的旱涝预测提供非常有价值的参考。
中文关键词: 夏季降水,北太平洋海温,大气环流
Abstract:It is found by calculation that good correlation existed between summer rainfall in Shandong Province and SST in equatorial eastern Pacific(EEP) and in North Pacific Current(NPC) areas. On the basis of the correlative analysis,the contemporary and antecedent SST anomaly features of rainy and dry summers and the relations with atmospheric circulations were discussed. The contemporary SST departure (rainy summer minus dry summer) is remarkable, and the negative SST anomaly in EEP area prior to those summers is closely related to negative WP_pattern, and the SST anomaly in NPC area is likely to be modulated by the anomaly of atmospheric circulations. The experiments using SST of Feb. —Apr. in high correlative areas and SSTA of Mar. in EEP area and of July in NPC area show that SST is of great reference value for long-term forecast of summer rainfall in Shandong Province.
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引用文本：
张苏平,朱平盛,胡桂芳,1997.山东夏季降水与北太平洋SST和大气环流的关系[J].气象,23(4):3-8.
,1997.Relationship among Summer Rainfall in Shandong and North Pacific SST and Atmospheric Circulations[J].Meteor Mon,23(4):3-8.
张苏平,朱平盛,胡桂芳,1997.山东夏季降水与北太平洋SST和大气环流的关系[J].气象,23(4):3-8.
,1997.Relationship among Summer Rainfall in Shandong and North Pacific SST and Atmospheric Circulations[J].Meteor Mon,23(4):3-8.