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中文摘要: 对国家气候中心1996年1~12月和1997年1~8月用T63L16模式所做的57次月延伸预报的500hPa高度场进行了检验评估,并对模式的系统性误差进行了分析和订正。同时,对西北气候变化有较大影响的大气环流系统的环流特征量进行了检验,并给出了订正偏差。
中文关键词: T63L16模式,延伸预报,准确率,评估
Abstract:By use of T63L16 model of NCC, 57 monthly dynamic extended predictions of 500hPa height from January to December of 1996 and from January to August of 1997 were given, and the predictive accuracy was checked and assessed. The characteristic figure of the general circulation system that impacted on the climate of Northwest of China was checked, the error corrections also were given.
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引用文本:
张存杰,董安祥,1998.对T63L16所作月延伸预报准确率的评估[J].气象,24(10):38-42.
,1998.An Assessment on the Accuracy of Monthly Dynamic Extended Forecast of T63L16 Model[J].Meteor Mon,24(10):38-42.
张存杰,董安祥,1998.对T63L16所作月延伸预报准确率的评估[J].气象,24(10):38-42.
,1998.An Assessment on the Accuracy of Monthly Dynamic Extended Forecast of T63L16 Model[J].Meteor Mon,24(10):38-42.