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中文摘要: 通过对长江上游六大流域1971~2000年50mm以上强降水面雨量100个个例进行天气分析,归纳总结了各流域24小时预报指标。将预报指标落实到T213产品对应时次、对应要素的预告场上,经计算机自动进行指标判别,从而作出六大流域24小时、48小时强降水面雨量预报。2002年6~10月进行了逐日业务试运行,结果表明,对强降水面雨量有较好的预报能力,T213产品的天气学释用是行之有效的
中文关键词: 强降水面雨量,天气学释用,预报指标
Abstract:One hundred cases of heavy area rainfall greater than 50mm from 1971 to 2000 in the six drainage areas of the upper reaches of the Changjiang River are analyzed , the 24hr′s forecast indexes of every drainage area are developed. Automatic differentiating T213′s forecast products correspond to the indexes by computer, the 24hr′s?48hr′s forecast of heavy area rainfall in the six drainage areas are made. Operation using from June to July in 2002 was run. The results show that the method has the better forecasting ability to heavy area rainfall, and the meteorological interpretation of T213′s products is feasible.
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基金项目:中国气象局三峡气象保障服务项目资助
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引用文本:
李才媛,宋清翠,金琪,2003.短期强降水面雨量预报与T213产品的天气学释用[J].气象,29(3):27-30.
,2003.Short-range Forecast of Heavy Area Rainfalland Interpretation of T213′s Products[J].Meteor Mon,29(3):27-30.
李才媛,宋清翠,金琪,2003.短期强降水面雨量预报与T213产品的天气学释用[J].气象,29(3):27-30.
,2003.Short-range Forecast of Heavy Area Rainfalland Interpretation of T213′s Products[J].Meteor Mon,29(3):27-30.