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中文摘要: 对湖南省西部和北部的一次特大致洪暴雨过程综合分析得出:此次特大暴雨过程的发生与对流层中低层西南急流和亚欧大陆上空维持阻塞形势密切相关。阻塞形势的维持,使得对流层中低层两个冷涡稳定少动,从而形成了东北向干冷气流,其与西南暖湿气流在湘西北地区上空形成一条东北西南向的切变线。切变线上生成的深厚的中尺度气旋的演变、发展,是特大暴雨产生的根本原因。对流层中层涡度、Q矢量散度及345K等熵面上位势涡度的由南向北发展与强降水区由南向北发展有较好的对应关系,可作为暴雨预报指标。超强散度柱、强涡度柱和陡立深厚θse耦合结构是垂直上升动力和暴雨产生和持续的重要动力机制。
中文关键词: 致洪暴雨,中尺度气旋,预报指标
Abstract:The heavy rain in north-west region of Hunan province is analyzed. Result shows as follows. The heavy rain is related to the southwest jet at the low and middle troposphere and the block in the high latitude area of the Eurasia. The maintaining block keeps two cyclones motionless at the middle troposphere, so the northeast dry and cold air develops and meets the warm and wet air from southwest region, and the northeast and southwest shear line came into being. Evolution and development of the deep mesoscale cyclone on the shear line is the reason why the rain becomes so heavy. As the big vorticity and the big diver of Q-vector in the low troposphere and the potential vorticity on 345K isentropic surface move from south to north, the heavy rain begins from south to north, so this characteristic can be used as the sign of forecasting heavy rain. The coupling of the strong diver and vorticity cylinder and the steep θse structure are the fundamental dynamic mechanism of vertical motion and the heavy rain cause and persistence.
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基金项目:科技部公益研究项目“我国南方致洪暴雨预测预警系统研究”
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引用文本:
刘志雄,戴泽军,叶成志,李耨周,陈勇,2005.“04.6”湘西北特大致洪暴雨形成机理分析[J].气象,31(10):61-67.
,2005.Mechanism Analysis of “04.6” Heavy Flooding Rainfall in North-West Region of Hunan Province[J].Meteor Mon,31(10):61-67.
刘志雄,戴泽军,叶成志,李耨周,陈勇,2005.“04.6”湘西北特大致洪暴雨形成机理分析[J].气象,31(10):61-67.
,2005.Mechanism Analysis of “04.6” Heavy Flooding Rainfall in North-West Region of Hunan Province[J].Meteor Mon,31(10):61-67.