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气象:2008,34(3):69-77
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2006年汛期VIC水文模型模拟结果分析
(1.国家气象中心,北京 100081;2.中国科学院大气物理研究所;3.云南省气象局)
Simulation of VIC Hydrologic Model During 2006 Flood Season
(1.National Meteorological Center, Beijing 100081;2.Institute of Atmospheric Physics, Chinese Academy of Sciences;3.Yunnan Meteorological Bureau)
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投稿时间:2007-01-15    修订日期:2007-04-02
中文摘要: 利用大尺度陆面水文模型VIC及其汇流模型模拟了2006年5—9月全国0.5°×0.5°逐日 径流深和土壤相对湿度分布,对淮河流域2006年汛期(6月28日—7月5日)强降水过程期间 的模拟结果进行了渍涝灾害的分析。同时对流域主要水文站逐日流量(0.5°×0.5°)过程进 行了模拟,并与实况作了对比分析;并且针对淮河流域不同空间分辨率(0.5°×0.5°及0. 1°×0.1°)下主要水文站点的逐日流量过程进行了比较。结果表明:VIC模型模拟的径流 深和土壤相对湿度分布与降水分布是一致的,模拟土壤湿度具有可用性。利用累计降水、径 流分布和土壤相对湿度及流量变化可以监测渍涝灾害的发生;VIC模型及其汇流模型在一定 程度上可以反映出实际流量的变化趋势,模拟流量对降水较敏感,细网格模拟流量在量值上 与实况更为接近;模拟结果误差可能跟汇流模型中流域边界的确定、参数率定、气象强迫资 料等因素有关。
中文关键词: VIC模型  径流  土壤湿度  流量  渍涝
Abstract:The runoff and water content in soil and the discharge of hydrologic station in China during the flood season of 2006 are simulated by using the VIC (Variable I nfiltration Capacity) hydrologic model, with emphasis on the water logging disas ter produced by a heavy rainfall case from 28 June to 5 July 2006 in the valley of Huaihe River. Performance of the model in simulating the discharge over the H uaihe River basin is examined in different horizontal resolutions, e.g., coarse mesh and fine mesh(0.5°×0.5° and 0.1°×0.1°). Results show that patterns of simulated runoff and soil humidity are consistent with that of rainfall and t he model output for soil humidity is reasonable for reference. Temporal variation in the accumulated rainfall, runoff and soil humid ity can be used to monitor the water logging disaster. VIC land surface model and conflux m odel are able to reproduce the trend of realistic discharge in some degree. Disc harge simulation is sensitive to rainfall and is more realistic in the case of f ine mesh than in the case of coarse mesh. Model error likely comes from the unre asonable boundary of the drainage basin, calibration of parameters and atmospher ic forcing data.
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基金项目:本文受国家自然科学基金(批准号:90411007)、国家重点基础研究发展规划(批准号:2005C B321703、2004CB418307)、中国气象局基建项目和淮河流域气象开放研究基金的联合资助。
引用文本:
林建,谢正辉,陈锋,肖子牛,薛建军,2008.2006年汛期VIC水文模型模拟结果分析[J].气象,34(3):69-77.
Lin Jian,Xie Zhenghui,Chen Feng,Xiao Ziniu,Xue Jianjun,2008.Simulation of VIC Hydrologic Model During 2006 Flood Season[J].Meteor Mon,34(3):69-77.