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投稿时间:2008-12-31 修订日期:2009-08-17
投稿时间:2008-12-31 修订日期:2009-08-17
中文摘要: 2007年夏季川渝地区及江淮流域持续性降水、极端强降水和强对流事件频发。利用强暴雨发
生时段2007年6月28日至7月26日逐时FY 2C红外TBB资料对这两个地区及周边区域(25°~3
8°N、100°~130°E)进行普查,共获得570个生命史≥3小时的中尺度对流系统(MCS)
。MCS的定义为-52℃ TBB闭合等值线内TBB≤-52℃的面积≥400km2,不区分形状
与生命史。MCS识别由计算机自动完成,MCS追踪由人工完成。普查结果发现,云南西北部至
四川西部、四
川东部与重庆、云贵高原东部和广西北部山区至洞庭湖、淮河流域四个区域是MCS活跃区,
但淮河流域又有三个波动状MCS活跃中心。普查区域内总体MCS和川渝地区活动最频繁的MCS
持续时间为3~7小时,但江淮流域活动最频繁的MCS生命史为4~9小时。按时间尺度将570个
MCS分成三类,第一类MCS生命史3~5小时,第二类MCS生命史6~11小时,第三类MCS生命史
≥12小时。三类MCS的地理分布特征及触发机制各不相同:第一、二类MCS在西太平洋副高平
均位置的内、外侧都有发生,它们的发生、发展及移动受中尺度因素影响明显,可能与地形
、中尺度辐合线等有关;第三类MCS发生在西太平洋副热带高压平均位置的外侧,其发生、
发
展及移动路径受天气尺度环境控制因素显著。三类MCS日变化具有明显不同的日变化特征。
三类MCS的形成高峰都出现在午后。第一类MCS无显著的夜发性特征,第二、三类MCS有较显
著的夜发性特征。第一、二类MCS在午后最活跃,但第三类MCS活动最活跃时段在下半夜(18
UTC)。川渝地区和江淮流域的MCS都具有多峰型日变化特征,但二者的活跃时段有所不同。
本文还给出了2个引发强降水的MCS典型个例及1个长生命史MCS演变特征。
Abstract:The extremely heavy rainfall, persistent rainfall and severe convective weather
events occurred frequently over Sichuan Chongqing Area and Yangtze Huaihe Riv
er Basin during the summer of 2007. Based on the FY 2C TBB (equivalent temperat
ure of black body) dataset during 28 June-26 July 2007, the 570 MCSs (mesoscale
convective systems) with life-cycle greater than 3 hours were investigated over
the former two areas and adjacent areas (25°~38°N,100°~130°E). There
were four active MCS areas: the area from the western Sichuan Province to nort
hwestern Yunnan Province, the eastern Sichuan Province and Chongqing City, the e
astern Yunnan Guizhou Plateau and the area from northern Guangxi Zhuang Autonom
ous Region to Dongting Lake and the Yangtze Huaihe River Basin(YHRB), and
the
re were three minor active MCS areas over the YHRB active MCS area. The modal
duration of the total MCSs and those over Sichuan Chongqing Area were approxima
tely 3~5 hours, but the modal duration of the MCSs over Yangtze Huaihe River B
a
sin was about 5~8 hours. The MCSs were classified as three types by the time sc
a
le of MCS: the first type of MCS has a life cycle of 3~5 hours, the life cycle
of the second MCS type is 6~11 hours and the life cycle of the third MCS type
≥12 hours. The trigger mechanisms of the three MCS types were different: the fi
r
st and second MCS type could occur inside and outside the mean location of the W
est Pacific subtropical high, and their occurrence, development and movement wer
e obviously influenced by the mesoscale weather systems and may be related to th
e factors such as topography and mesoscale convergence lines; the third MCS type
occurred outside the mean location of the West Pacific subtropical high, and it
s occurrence, development and movement were obviously influenced by the large s
cale synoptic systems. The diurnal variations of the three MCS types were also o
bviously different. The peaks of the three MCS types all occurred in the afterno
on. However, the first MCS type had no obviously nocturnal occurrence, but the s
econd and third MCS type had a nocturnal occurrence characteristic. The most act
ive peak of the first and second MCS type was both in the afternoon, but the mos
t active peak of the third MCS type was after midnight (about 18UTC). Both the M
CSs over Sichuan Chongqing Area and Yangtze Huaihe River Basin had multiple ac
tive periods in a whole day, but the active periods of the MCSs over two areas w
ere different. Finally, two typical MCSs causing heavy rainfall and one long du
ration MCS were presented.
文章编号: 中图分类号: 文献标志码:
基金项目:国家重点基础研究973项目(编号: 2004CB418300)、武汉暴雨研究所暴
雨研究开放基金项目IHR2008K02、国家自然科学基金项目40875019共同资助
作者 | 单位 |
祁秀香 | 广州市南沙区气象局,广州 511458 国家气象中心 中国气象局武汉暴雨研究所 南京信息工程大学 江苏省气象灾害重点实验室 |
郑永光 | 广州市南沙区气象局,广州 511458 国家气象中心 中国气象局武汉暴雨研究所 南京信息工程大学 江苏省气象灾害重点实验室 |
引用文本:
祁秀香,郑永光,2009.2007年夏季川渝与江淮流域MCS分布与日变化特征[J].气象,35(11):17-28.
Qi Xiuxiang,Zheng Yongguang,2009.Distribution and Diurnal Variations of the MCS over Sichuan Chongqing Area and Yangtze Huaihe River Basin During the Summer of 2007[J].Meteor Mon,35(11):17-28.
祁秀香,郑永光,2009.2007年夏季川渝与江淮流域MCS分布与日变化特征[J].气象,35(11):17-28.
Qi Xiuxiang,Zheng Yongguang,2009.Distribution and Diurnal Variations of the MCS over Sichuan Chongqing Area and Yangtze Huaihe River Basin During the Summer of 2007[J].Meteor Mon,35(11):17-28.