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气象:2019,45(2):166-179
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一次引发极端降水事件的江淮气旋发生发展分析
沈阳,孙燕,蔡凝昊,苏翔,史达伟
(江苏省气象台,南京 210008; 江苏省气象科学研究所,南京 210008; 江苏省连云港市气象局,连云港 222006)
Analysis on the Generation and Evolution of a Jianghuai Cyclone Responsible for Extreme Precipitation Event
SHEN Yang,SUN Yan,CAI Ninghao,SU Xiang,SHI Dawei
(Jiangsu Meteorological Observatory, Nanjing 210008; Jiangsu Institute of Meteorological Sciences, Nanjing 210008; Lianyungang Meteorological Office of Jiangsu Province, Lianyungang 222006)
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投稿时间:2017-07-29    修订日期:2018-09-27
中文摘要: 利用NCEP 0.25°×0.25°再分析数据和多种观测资料,对2017年6月9—10日在苏皖地区引发区域性大暴雨并在江苏数个观测站造成极端降水事件的江淮气旋过程(简称“0609”过程)进行了分析,从气旋的生成、发展、冷暖锋和相当正压性等方面与前一次降水较弱的江淮气旋过程(同年6月5日过程,简称“0605”过程)进行了对比,结论如下:(1)对流层高层正涡度平流及出流区引发高空辐散场,继而导致对流层低层动力减压,是“0609”江淮气旋的启动机制,而“0605”过程对流层低层强盛的暖平流引起的上升运动导致了气旋的生成;(2)对锋生函数的计算表明“0609”过程锋生作用较“0605”过程更强,前者暖锋锋区较后者更为陡立且在一定区域内缓慢移动,暖锋附近及暖区一侧上升运动更强且更为深厚,以上因素直接导致了“0609”过程区域性大暴雨的发生;(3)相对涡度和纬向风0值线的垂直分布表明,“0609”过程气旋在700 hPa以下表现为集中的涡度柱形态,强度较大,系统随高度几近垂直分布,相当正压结构十分明显,而“0605”过程气旋涡度柱仅存在于850 hPa以下,强度较弱,相对涡度和纬向风0值线随高度北倾,斜压性明显;(4)“0609”过程强降水引起的潜热释放通过涡度混合加强了气旋,加强的气旋又增强了降水,降水和气旋之间建立了类似于“CISK”机制的正反馈过程,这可能是“0609”过程气旋表现出较强正压性的原因,说明了江淮气旋发展方式的多样性。
Abstract:A Jianghuai cyclone which caused regional severe torrential rain in East China and extreme precipitation events at several stations in Jiangsu Province during 9-10 June 2017 is analyzed based on NCEP 0.25°×0.25° reanalysis data and multiple observation data. The generation, development, front structure and equivalent barotropy are studied by comparing with another Jianghuai cyclone with less precipitation. The results are as follows. (1) The divergence caused by positive vorticity advection and distributary at upper troposphere led to the generation of the “0609” (9 June 2017) cyclone while the warm advection at lower troposphere triggered the “0605” (5 June 2017) cyclone. (2) The calculation of frontogenesis function indicates that frontogenesis was much intenser in the “0609” cyclone than the other which made the frontal surface less tilted and the upward motion in warm area much stronger and deeper. These factors and the slow motion of front could be the direct reason for the regional torrential rain. (3) Vertical profile of relative vorticity and 0 contour of zonal wind indicates that the “0609” cyclone had an intense vorticity column and vertical structure below 700 hPa, which made itself some equivalent barotropic, while the “0605” cyclone had a tilted structure and it was more baroclinic. (4) The latent heat released by intense precipitation could strengthen the cyclone by mixing vorticity and the strengthened cyclone could enhance the precipitation conversely, creating a positive feedback mechanism like CISK between cyclone and its precipitation. This could be the reason for the equivalent barotropy of the “0609” cyclone, showing the multiple evolution pattern of Jianghuai cyclone.
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基金项目:国家自然科学基金项目(41575081)、江苏省自然科学基金项目(BK20161603)、中国气象局预报员专项(CMAYBY2018 028)和江苏省气象学会青年科研基金项目(KQ201804)共同资助
引用文本:
沈阳,孙燕,蔡凝昊,苏翔,史达伟,2019.一次引发极端降水事件的江淮气旋发生发展分析[J].气象,45(2):166-179.
SHEN Yang,SUN Yan,CAI Ninghao,SU Xiang,SHI Dawei,2019.Analysis on the Generation and Evolution of a Jianghuai Cyclone Responsible for Extreme Precipitation Event[J].Meteor Mon,45(2):166-179.