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投稿时间:2021-08-03 修订日期:2022-06-02
投稿时间:2021-08-03 修订日期:2022-06-02
中文摘要: 构建科学合理易操作的灾害指标是灾害预警快速有效、评估准确的基础和关键。基于风对农业设施致灾原理,将风灾划分为导致日光温室和塑料大棚主体结构受损(Ⅰ级)和棚膜损坏(Ⅱ级)两个等级。根据当地气候特点,以日光温室和塑料大棚结构设计使用年限为依据,采用极值概率分布模型对1989—2018年全国2467个气象站最大风速观测资料进行分析,计算了20 a和10 a重现期的最大风速,在此基础上,综合考虑不同体型设施抗风能力以及设施农业致灾要素,构建了基于极大风速的日光温室和塑料大棚不同等级风灾指标,并绘制了相应风灾指标分布图。经2009—2018年全国设施农业大风灾情资料以及2020年各区域代表省份风灾实例检验,所得风灾指标与承灾体受灾程度、实际观测风速均具有较好的一致性。
中文关键词: 风灾指标,日光温室,塑料大棚,重现期,极大风速
Abstract:Scientific and reasonable disaster indexes are the basis and key to the effective disaster early warning and accurate disaster impact assessment. In this study, based on the principle of wind damage to agricultural facilities, the wind disaster indexes of protected agricultureare divided into two levels. Level Ⅰ is for the damage to the main structure of the facility, Level Ⅱ is for the damage to the shed film. Based on the local climate characteristics and design service lifetime of solar greenhouses and plastic tunnels, the extreme value probability distribution model is used to analyze the maximum wind speed observation data of 2467 weather stations from 1989 to 2018, and the maximum wind speed of 20-year and 10-year return period are calculated. On this basis, the wind resistance of different types of agricultural facilities and the disaster-causing factors are considered comprehensively, and the wind disaster indexes for solar greenhouses and plastic tunnels of different levels based on extreme wind speed are established. According to the main distribution areas of solar greenhouses and plastic tunnels in China, the wind disaster indexes distribution maps are drawn. Based on the 2009-2018 wind disaster data of protected agriculture and the wind disaster cases of representative provinces in each region in 2020, the wind disaster indexes determined in this study are in good agreement with the disaster-bearing body’s degree of damage and the observed wind speed. And the method for determining the wind disaster index is feasible.
文章编号: 中图分类号: 文献标志码:
基金项目:国家重点研发计划(2018YFC1507802)资助
作者 | 单位 |
谭方颖 | 国家气象中心,北京 100081 |
何亮 | 国家气象中心,北京 100081 |
赵晓凤 | 国家气象中心,北京 100081 |
张继波 | 山东省气候中心,济南 250031 |
程路 | 国家气象中心,北京 100081 |
引用文本:
谭方颖,何亮,赵晓凤,张继波,程路,2022.日光温室和塑料大棚风灾指标构建[J].气象,48(9):1186-1194.
TAN Fangying,HE Liang,ZHAO Xiaofeng,ZHANG Jibo,CHENG Lu,2022.Construction of Wind Disaster Indexes for Solar Greenhouses and Plastic Tunnels[J].Meteor Mon,48(9):1186-1194.
谭方颖,何亮,赵晓凤,张继波,程路,2022.日光温室和塑料大棚风灾指标构建[J].气象,48(9):1186-1194.
TAN Fangying,HE Liang,ZHAO Xiaofeng,ZHANG Jibo,CHENG Lu,2022.Construction of Wind Disaster Indexes for Solar Greenhouses and Plastic Tunnels[J].Meteor Mon,48(9):1186-1194.