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气象:2023,49(10):1227-1234
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2023年春末黄淮海麦区“烂场雨”极端性特征及大尺度大气环流场
高晶,高辉
(内蒙古自治区气候中心,呼和浩特 010051;国家气候中心,北京 100081)
“Wheat-Soaked Persistent Rainfall” in Late Spring 2023 in the Huang-Huai-Hai Plain and the Large-Scale Circulation Pattern
GAO Jing,GAO Hui
(Inner Mongolia Climate Centre, Hohhot 010051;National Climate Centre, Beijing 100081)
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投稿时间:2023-07-03    修订日期:2023-08-29
中文摘要: 基于中国气象局逐日降水和日照资料及NCEP/NCAR再分析数据集,分析了2023年5月下旬黄淮海麦区高影响“烂场雨”事件的极端性特征及其大气环流配置型,发现:就旬平均而言,黄淮海麦区寡照的极端性要强于降水;但各省份间差异明显,其中河南省最为严重。为和历史事件对比,首次提出了河南“烂场雨”事件的客观定义指标,并由此筛选出1981年以来全省18次最为典型的“烂场雨”事件。此次“烂场雨”事件在所有事件中,雨量为第六多,日照为第二少。因此,对河南省而言,寡照时长的极端性亦更为明显。对1981—2022年所有事件合成结果显示,造成“烂场雨”的大尺度大气环流形势为西太平洋副热带高压偏西偏强且西段脊线偏北,欧亚中高纬地区为“西低东高”环流型。对比发现,2023年5月下旬“烂场雨”事件的大气环流型在中高纬度和历史事件相似,但热带地区受超强台风玛娃的影响,副热带高压西段发生挤压形变,西北侧的西南风水汽输送明显偏强。同时因“玛娃”长时间稳定维持在菲律宾以东附近,台风东北侧引导的东南风气流较副热带高压西北侧的西南风距平更为强盛。两支水汽在黄淮海地区汇合叠加,造成小麦产区的持续降水和寡照。
Abstract:Based on the daily observations of precipitation and sunshine duration from China Meteorological Administration and the NCEP/NCAR reanalysis data, this paper analyzes the extremity features of a high-impact “wheat-soaked persistent rainfall” event in the Huang-Huai-Hai Plain, which covers the five provinces of Hebei, Shandong, Henan, Jiangsu and Anhui, in late May of 2023 and the atmospheric circulation patterns. The findings suggest that, for the dekad average of five provinces during 21-31 May, the extremity of absent sunshine is more intense than precipitation. However, obvious differences exist among the five provinces, of which the situation in Henan Province is the most serious. To compare both the weather condition and the circulation pattern with historical events, this paper proposes an objective definition of “wheat-soaked persistent rainfall” event in Henan Province for the first time and selects out 18 typical cases during 1981-2022. For the “wheat-soaked persistent rainfall” event in late May 2023, it has the sixth highest rainfall amount and the second lowest sunshine duration among all events. The synthesis of general circulation patterns displays a more westward-northward and stronger western Pacific subtropical high (WPSH), and a “lower in the west while higher in the east” geopotential height anomaly in the mid-high latitudes of Eurasia. Therefore, for Henan Province, the extremity of absent sunshine is more obvious. The results of the synthesis of all events from 1981 to 2022 show that the large-scale atmospheric circulation pattern that causes the “wheat-soaked persistent rainfall” event is that the WPSH is westward stronger and the its western ridge line is northward, while the middle and high latitudes of Eurasia are under the “low in the west and high in the east” circulation pattern. In contrast, the circulation pattern of the “wheat-soaked persistent rainfall” event in late May 2023 is similar to that of the historical events in the mid-high latitudes. However, in tropical regions, affected by the Super Typhoon Mawar, the western section of the WPSH is squeezed and deformed, and the moisture transport by the southwesterly wind in the northwest side of the WPSH is significantly much stronger. At the same time, because “Mawar” remain stable near the east of the Philippines for a long time, the southeast wind flow guide by the northeast side of the typhoon is stronger than the southwest wind anomaly on the northwest side of the subtropical high. The two branches of water vapor superpose, leading to persistent precipitation and long-time absence of sunshine in the Huang-Huai-Hai Plain.
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基金项目:国家自然科学基金项目(42175048)、内蒙古自然科学基金项目(2022LHMS04004)共同资助
引用文本:
高晶,高辉,2023.2023年春末黄淮海麦区“烂场雨”极端性特征及大尺度大气环流场[J].气象,49(10):1227-1234.
GAO Jing,GAO Hui,2023.“Wheat-Soaked Persistent Rainfall” in Late Spring 2023 in the Huang-Huai-Hai Plain and the Large-Scale Circulation Pattern[J].Meteor Mon,49(10):1227-1234.