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气象:2023,49(11):1328-1342
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冷涡背景下山东省“5·17”极端强对流天气环境条件分析
侯淑梅,朱晓清,史茜,唐巧玲,孟宪贵,刘畅,高荣珍,刁秀广
(山东省气象防灾减灾重点实验室,济南 250031; 山东省气象台,济南 250031;山东省气象工程技术中心,济南 250031;青岛市气象局,青岛 266003)
Analysis of the Environmental Conditions of “5·17” Extremely Severe Convective Weather in Shandong Province Under the Background of Cold Vortex
HOU Shumei,ZHU Xiaoqing,SHI Qian,TANG Qiaoling,MENG Xiangui,LIU Chang,GAO Rongzhen,DIAO Xiuguang
(Key Laboratory for Meteorological Disaster Prevention and Mitigation of Shandong, Jinan 250031; Shandong Meteorological Observatory, Jinan 250031; Shandong Technology Center of Meteorological Engineering, Jinan 250031; Qingdao Meteorological Bureau, Qingdao 266003)
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投稿时间:2022-09-07    修订日期:2023-06-11
中文摘要: 2020年5月17日,山东省出现大范围强对流天气(简称“5·17”强对流),冰雹范围之广为近10年之首。对流风暴高度组织化,区域性的超级单体群以及一条长度超过500 km的强飑线造成此次极端强对流天气。利用ERA5再分析、加密自动气象观测站、多普勒天气雷达等资料,剖析了此次极端强对流天气的环境条件。结果表明:冷涡位于最有利于山东出现强对流的关键区,大尺度天气系统强迫强,对流层中层异常强的冷空气南下影响前期异常增暖的山东地区,造成“5·17”极端强对流。天气系统的异常程度更能代表动热力强迫的强度,异常程度达到2σ以上有可能造成极端强对流天气。当冷涡南下过程中强度减弱,但异常程度增加时,其东南象限仍能产生极端强对流天气。强的深层垂直风切变有利于对流风暴组织化发展,飑线的长轴走向与0~6km垂直风切变矢量方向相同,新单体发生、发展、合并的区域位于风矢量差大值中心前沿。低层暖湿平流源源不断地向山东输送暖湿空气,是CAPE重建的机制,是超级单体群和长飑线得以长时间维持的主要能量来源。
Abstract:A large-scale extremely severe convective weather named “5·17” severe convection occurred in Shandong Province on 17 May 2020, and the hail coverage was the largest in the resent 10 years. The convective storms were highly organized. The regional supercell clusters and a strong squall line over 500 km in length caused this extremely severe convection. Based on ERA5 reanalysis data, automatic weather station data and Doppler weather radar data, the ambient conditions of this extremely severe convective weather are analyzed. The results show as follows. The cold vortex was located in the key area which was most conducive to the Shandong severe convection. The large-scale weather system forcing was strong, and the unusually strong cold air in the middle troposphere moved southward impacting the previously abnormally warm Shandong Province and resulting in the “5·17” extremely severe convection weather. The anomaly of weather system is more representative of the intensity of dynamic and thermal forcing, and when anomaly level is above 2σ, the extremely severe convection would be caused. When the intensity of the cold vortex weakened during its southward moving, accompanied by increasing anomaly, it may still cause extremely severe convective weather in its southeast quadrant. The strong deep vertical wind shear was conducive to storms organization and development. The long axis of the squall line orientated the same direction as the 0-6 km vertical wind shear vector. The area where new cells were generated, developed and merged was located in the front of the large value center of the wind vector difference. The low-level warm and moist advection continuously transported warm and humid air to Shandong, which was the mechanism of CAPE reconstruction and the main energy source for the long-term maintenance of supercell group and long squall line.
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基金项目:山东省自然科学基金项目(ZR2021MD010、ZR2022MD088)、山东省气象局精准预报技术创新团队(SDCXTD2021-1)、中国气象局预报员专项(CMAYBY2018-041)、中国气象局复盘总结专项(FPZJ2023-072)、山东省气象局重点课题(2022sdqxz11)、环渤海区域科技协同基金项目(QYXM202105)共同资助
引用文本:
侯淑梅,朱晓清,史茜,唐巧玲,孟宪贵,刘畅,高荣珍,刁秀广,2023.冷涡背景下山东省“5·17”极端强对流天气环境条件分析[J].气象,49(11):1328-1342.
HOU Shumei,ZHU Xiaoqing,SHI Qian,TANG Qiaoling,MENG Xiangui,LIU Chang,GAO Rongzhen,DIAO Xiuguang,2023.Analysis of the Environmental Conditions of “5·17” Extremely Severe Convective Weather in Shandong Province Under the Background of Cold Vortex[J].Meteor Mon,49(11):1328-1342.